Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 11 of Estonia, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.120 to 11.12.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.12 (−0.119)
- In: 11.24
- Rank by index
- 35
- In: 34
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 401
- In: 294
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 5.98 | 5.81 | −0.170 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.48 | 10.41 | −0.070 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.40 | 7.33 | −0.065 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.35 | 14.31 | −0.044 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.33 | 10.19 | −0.146 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.29 | 15.22 | −0.068 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 12.68 | 12.53 | −0.142 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.47 | 12.33 | −0.142 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.19 | 11.96 | −0.229 | 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 334, plus 294 carried in. Maintenance 226. Nothing spent on actions. 401 carried over.
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −23.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Export Capability & Sophistication | −0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.28 | −0.02 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.28 | −0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | −0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.28 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | −0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.28 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | −0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.27 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | −0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.26 | 0.00 |