Round 9 · simulation 11 · cycle-001.e3-est-hold

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 11 of Estonia, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.491 to 10.36.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index: 10.36 (−0.491); In: 10.85
Rank by index: 44; In: 35
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 739; In: 629

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	5.42	5.10	−0.323	7
Strategic Infrastructure	10.24	9.57	−0.666	5
National Security	7.18	6.47	−0.716	6
Human Capital	14.20	14.02	−0.179	3
Information & Influence	9.88	9.60	−0.277	6
Governance & Integrity	15.08	14.75	−0.323	5
Financial Strength	12.21	11.60	−0.617	10 → 11
Production & Innovation	12.01	11.49	−0.518	6
Trade & Investment	11.45	10.64	−0.800	8 → 9

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 322, plus 629 carried in. Maintenance 212. Nothing spent on actions. 739 carried over.

Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −35.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 10 to 11; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Events	Graph
Economic Leverage & Dependence	−1.26	−1.24	−0.02
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence	−1.24	−1.21	−0.03
Trade Facilitation & Logistics	−1.23	−1.22	−0.01
Maritime Power	−1.21	−1.21	0.00
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment	−1.17	−1.16	−0.01
Resource Infrastructure	−1.05	−1.05	−0.01