Round 2027
Round 1 of 20 in simulation 99 of Estonia, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, Hybrid coercion and Market access opening, and the index −0.415 to 11.07.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.07 (−0.415)
- In: 11.49
- Rank by index
- 35
- In: 33
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 112
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.00 | 5.63 | −0.374 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.86 | 10.16 | −0.702 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 6.64 | −0.901 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.56 | 14.62 | +0.065 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.48 | 9.59 | −0.897 | 6 → 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.08 | −0.380 | 3 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.08 | 13.11 | +0.030 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.81 | 12.54 | −0.271 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.60 | 12.29 | −0.305 | 6 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2027: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 347. Maintenance 236. Nothing spent on actions. 112 carried over.
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −35.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Upside event: Market access opening S12. +10.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 7; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maritime Power | −1.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.57 | 0.00 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −1.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.43 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.42 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.34 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.32 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.20 | 0.00 |