Round 12 · simulation 99 · cycle-001.e3-est-hold

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 99 of Estonia, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.515 to 10.62.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.62 (−0.515)
In: 11.13
Rank by index
40
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1,174
In: 1,047
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.655.21−0.4477
Strategic Infrastructure10.279.41−0.8575 → 6
National Security6.585.58−1.0006 → 7
Human Capital14.7414.74+0.0013
Information & Influence9.618.58−1.0297 → 8
Governance & Integrity15.2014.70−0.5034 → 5
Financial Strength13.1413.14+0.0019
Production & Innovation12.6112.24−0.3655
Trade & Investment12.4211.98−0.4406 → 8

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 346, plus 1,047 carried in. Maintenance 218. Nothing spent on actions. 1,174 carried over.

  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −39.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 6; National Security Tier 6 to 7; Information & Influence Tier 7 to 8; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Maritime Power−1.740.000.00−1.740.00
Intelligence & Assessment−1.590.000.00−1.590.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−1.580.000.00−1.580.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.520.000.00−1.520.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation−1.500.000.00−1.500.00
Energy Infrastructure−1.470.000.00−1.470.00