Round 2 · simulation 87 · cycle-001.e3-est-mirror-peer

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 87 of Estonia, mirror a peer, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture and Core disaster, and the index −0.315 to 10.94.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.94 (−0.315)
In: 11.26
Rank by index
35
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
46
In: 24
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.985.86−0.1227
Strategic Infrastructure10.459.95−0.4995
National Security7.387.13−0.2476
Human Capital14.3014.02−0.2793
Information & Influence10.5910.74+0.1576
Governance & Integrity15.2614.97−0.2904 → 5
Financial Strength12.6412.20−0.4359 → 11
Production & Innovation12.4911.93−0.5545 → 6
Trade & Investment12.2611.69−0.5638

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the mirror a peer (irl) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 336, plus 24 carried in. Maintenance 226. Spent 87 on actions (buy 52, partner 35). 46 carried over.

  • PartnerDiaspora & Global Communities17 credits for 0.84 levelsgoal_gapahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 2 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection17 credits for 1.41 levelsgoal_gapahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 4 per cent
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power17 credits for 1.32 levelsgoal_gapahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 3 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance17 credits for 1.67 levelsgoal_gapahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 3 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing17 credits for 1.63 levelsgoal_gapahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 4 per cent
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −37.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −18.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 11; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.27+1.670.00−0.39−0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.14+1.630.00−0.490.00
Industrial & Sectoral Base−0.980.000.00−0.980.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.940.000.00−0.940.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.850.000.00−0.79−0.07
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.830.000.00−0.80−0.03