Round 12 · simulation 87 · cycle-001.e3-est-mirror-peer

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 87 of Estonia, mirror a peer, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.055 to 11.22.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.22 (−0.055)
In: 11.27
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
250
In: 218
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.266.17−0.0916
Strategic Infrastructure10.3310.31−0.0255
National Security6.816.73−0.0836
Human Capital13.8813.92+0.0433 → 5
Information & Influence11.6511.62−0.0314
Governance & Integrity14.7014.60−0.0975
Financial Strength12.4712.42−0.05610
Production & Innovation12.5812.52−0.0645
Trade & Investment12.7512.66−0.0917

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the mirror a peer (irl) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 343, plus 218 carried in. Maintenance 226. Spent 86 on actions (buy 52, partner 34). 250 carried over.

  • PartnerMonetary & Currency Capability17 credits for 0.89 levelsgoal_gapahead of Innovation & Commercialisation by 0 per cent
  • BuyInnovation & Commercialisation17 credits for 0.83 levelsgoal_gapahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 6 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection17 credits for 1.19 levelsgoal_gapahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies17 credits for 1.36 levelsgoal_gapahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 2 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation17 credits for 0.90 levelsgoal_gapahead of Population Health by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −34.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+0.96+1.360.00−0.40+0.01
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.84+0.900.00−0.06−0.01
Innovation & Commercialisation+0.67+0.830.00−0.17+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing−0.500.000.00−0.51+0.01
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.49+0.680.00−0.180.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.49+0.770.00−0.40+0.12