Round 1 · simulation 99 · cycle-001.e3-est-mirror-peer

Round 2027

Round 1 of 20 in simulation 99 of Estonia, mirror a peer, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion and Market access opening, and the index −0.328 to 11.16.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.16 (−0.328)
In: 11.49
Rank by index
35
In: 33
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
25
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.005.80−0.1967
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.16−0.7025
National Security7.546.64−0.9016
Human Capital14.5614.62+0.0653
Information & Influence10.4810.09−0.3946
Governance & Integrity15.4615.08−0.3803 → 5
Financial Strength13.0813.11+0.0309
Production & Innovation12.8112.54−0.2715
Trade & Investment12.6012.39−0.2026 → 8

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2027: the credits, the mirror a peer (irl) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 347. Maintenance 236. Spent 87 on actions (buy 35, partner 52). 25 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing17 credits for 1.77 levelsgoal_gapahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance17 credits for 1.83 levelsgoal_gapahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 15 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection17 credits for 1.44 levelsgoal_gapahead of Diaspora & Global Communities by 4 per cent
  • PartnerDiaspora & Global Communities17 credits for 0.84 levelsgoal_gapahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 11 per cent
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy17 credits for 1.53 levelsgoal_gapahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 5 per cent
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −35.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Upside event: Market access opening S12. +10.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2027, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Maritime Power−1.570.000.00−1.570.00
Intelligence & Assessment−1.430.000.00−1.430.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−1.420.000.00−1.420.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.42+1.770.00−0.360.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.340.000.00−1.340.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation−1.320.000.00−1.320.00