Round 12 · simulation 99 · cycle-001.e3-est-mirror-peer

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 99 of Estonia, mirror a peer, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.445 to 11.79.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.79 (−0.445)
In: 12.23
Rank by index
30
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
338
In: 305
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.056.88−0.1706
Strategic Infrastructure11.2510.43−0.8234 → 5
National Security6.595.61−0.9806 → 7
Human Capital15.0515.12+0.0763
Information & Influence12.7711.79−0.9804
Governance & Integrity15.2114.71−0.4944 → 5
Financial Strength14.1014.25+0.1547
Production & Innovation13.7913.44−0.3575
Trade & Investment14.2813.85−0.4285

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the mirror a peer (irl) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 391, plus 305 carried in. Maintenance 260. Spent 97 on actions (build 39, buy 39, partner 19). 338 carried over.

  • PartnerFinancial Stability & Crisis Management19 credits for 0.86 levelsgoal_gapahead of Financial Infrastructure by 4 per cent
  • BuildFinancial Infrastructure19 credits for 1.09 levelsgoal_gapahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 3 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies19 credits for 1.39 levelsgoal_gapahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.47 levelsgoal_gapahead of Population Health by 0 per cent
  • BuildPopulation Health19 credits for 0.89 levelsgoal_gapahead of Innovation & Commercialisation by 4 per cent
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −40.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 4 to 5; National Security Tier 6 to 7; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Maritime Power−1.710.000.00−1.710.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−1.560.000.00−1.560.00
Intelligence & Assessment−1.550.000.00−1.56+0.01
Energy Infrastructure−1.520.000.00−1.520.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.500.000.00−1.50+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation−1.460.000.00−1.47+0.02