Round 11 · simulation 18 · cycle-001.e3-gbr-greedy-marginal

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 18 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Cryptographic trust break, and the index −0.144 to 17.33.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.33 (−0.144)
In: 17.47
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
279
In: 328
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.3916.08−0.3102
Strategic Infrastructure16.0716.04−0.0292
National Security15.8115.35−0.4583
Human Capital19.1919.30+0.1091
Information & Influence18.1517.95−0.1971
Governance & Integrity17.2817.48+0.1931
Financial Strength17.4617.02−0.4401
Production & Innovation17.8717.95+0.0771
Trade & Investment19.0418.80−0.2431

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,054, plus 328 carried in. Maintenance 840. Spent 264 on actions (build 105, buy 53, partner 105). 279 carried over.

  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability53 credits for 1.93 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 4 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies53 credits for 2.04 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls by 0 per cent
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls53 credits for 1.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Information Environment & Strategic Communication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication53 credits for 2.13 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure53 credits for 1.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Cryptographic trust break S09. −21.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Labour & Employment+1.51+1.670.00−0.18+0.01
Advanced Manufacturing+0.80+0.950.00−0.18+0.04
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies−0.770.000.00−0.78+0.01
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.750.000.00−0.750.00
Intelligence & Assessment−0.710.000.00−0.76+0.05
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.69+0.870.00−0.180.00