Round 3 · simulation 96 · cycle-001.e3-gbr-random

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 96 of United Kingdom, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.122 to 16.43.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.43 (−0.122)
In: 16.56
Rank by index
3
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 3
Credits carried
650
In: 415
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.3116.24−0.0743
Strategic Infrastructure16.1115.96−0.1522
National Security16.3216.29−0.0392
Human Capital16.1816.07−0.1082
Information & Influence17.6317.48−0.1501
Governance & Integrity16.4816.39−0.0911
Financial Strength17.3917.27−0.1182 → 1
Production & Innovation16.0615.91−0.1541
Trade & Investment16.5416.33−0.2103

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 951, plus 415 carried in. Maintenance 640. Spent 76 on actions (build 29, partner 48). 650 carried over.

  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks10 credits for 0.41 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerFinancial Regulation & Integrity19 credits for 0.49 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerMonetary & Currency Capability19 credits for 0.54 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls10 credits for 0.30 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildPopulation Health19 credits for 0.82 levelsrandom_draw
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −10.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.370.000.00−0.370.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations+0.33+0.410.00−0.080.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.310.000.00−0.310.00
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure−0.300.000.00−0.300.00
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.300.000.00−0.300.00
Energy Infrastructure−0.290.000.00−0.290.00