Round 16 · simulation 96 · cycle-001.e3-gbr-random

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 96 of United Kingdom, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.093 to 16.66.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.66 (−0.093)
In: 16.75
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 6
Credits carried
885
In: 877
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.7916.60−0.1832
Strategic Infrastructure16.1016.14+0.0411
National Security16.3216.29−0.0352
Human Capital17.4217.48+0.0651
Information & Influence17.7017.50−0.1941
Governance & Integrity16.4816.42−0.0571
Financial Strength17.3217.13−0.1881 → 2
Production & Innovation16.4016.23−0.1731
Trade & Investment16.2216.10−0.1162

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 904, plus 877 carried in. Maintenance 789. Spent 109 on actions (buy 18, partner 90). 885 carried over.

  • BuyLifelong Learning & Reskilling18 credits for 0.72 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management9 credits for 0.25 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerFinancial Infrastructure18 credits for 0.30 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerAdvanced Education45 credits for 0.96 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerInternal Security & Order18 credits for 0.58 levelsrandom_draw
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −32.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.86+1.250.00−0.380.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.67+0.720.00−0.06+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.400.000.00−0.400.00
Global Value Chain Position−0.390.000.00−0.40+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.350.000.00−0.36+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.340.000.00−0.340.00