Round 20 · simulation 49 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2046

Round 20 of 30 in simulation 49 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.048 to 5.32.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.32 (+0.048)
In: 5.28
Rank by index
112
In: 112
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
10
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.751.81+0.06211
Strategic Infrastructure5.765.77+0.0089
National Security3.183.19+0.00910
Human Capital7.407.41+0.00311
Information & Influence6.816.91+0.10110
Governance & Integrity7.117.10−0.00217
Financial Strength5.005.04+0.04530 → 27
Production & Innovation4.985.06+0.07917
Trade & Investment5.505.62+0.12315 → 14

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 101, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 70. Spent 22 on actions (buy 13, partner 9). 10 carried over.

  • BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.63 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.29 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 30 to 27; Trade & Investment Tier 15 to 14.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.63+0.630.000.00−0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.58+0.570.000.00+0.02
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.58+0.580.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.56+0.570.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.33+0.320.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.28+0.290.000.00−0.01