Round 12 · simulation 76 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2038

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 76 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.091 to 7.64.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.64 (−0.091)
In: 7.73
Rank by index
72
In: 71
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.603.65+0.0469
Strategic Infrastructure7.917.65−0.2597 → 8
National Security4.644.32−0.3179
Human Capital9.449.48+0.0398
Information & Influence9.098.98−0.1097
Governance & Integrity8.898.72−0.17914 → 15
Financial Strength8.688.70+0.01717
Production & Innovation8.138.15+0.01514 → 12
Trade & Investment9.209.13−0.06911

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 156. Maintenance 121. Spent 34 on actions (buy 31, partner 3). 1 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies8 credits for 0.95 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance8 credits for 0.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance3 credits for 0.17 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −13.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 8; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.76+0.850.00−0.13+0.04
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.64+0.950.00−0.31+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.64+0.810.00−0.170.00
Maritime Power−0.560.000.00−0.560.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.53+0.820.00−0.30+0.01
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.500.000.00−0.55+0.05