Round 16 · simulation 76 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2042

Round 16 of 30 in simulation 76 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.054 to 7.89.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.89 (+0.053)
In: 7.84
Rank by index
70
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
9
In: 7
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.234.47+0.2418
Strategic Infrastructure7.687.70+0.0138
National Security4.344.34+0.0059
Human Capital9.629.63+0.0068
Information & Influence9.319.32+0.0077
Governance & Integrity8.718.71−0.00115
Financial Strength8.808.81+0.01517
Production & Innovation8.358.48+0.13312 → 10
Trade & Investment9.529.58+0.06810

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 167, plus 7 carried in. Maintenance 124. Spent 41 on actions (buy 25, partner 16). 9 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing8 credits for 0.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 1 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation8 credits for 0.97 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.84 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence8 credits for 0.88 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies8 credits for 0.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 12 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.97+0.970.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.93+0.920.000.00+0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.85+0.840.000.00+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.46+0.440.000.00+0.03
Space Technologies+0.36+0.360.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.100.000.000.00+0.10