Round 11 · simulation 77 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2037

Round 11 of 30 in simulation 77 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.058 to 7.40.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.40 (+0.058)
In: 7.34
Rank by index
76
In: 76
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
5
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.073.15+0.08210
Strategic Infrastructure7.717.72+0.0108
National Security4.454.46+0.0099
Human Capital8.938.95+0.0258
Information & Influence8.678.68+0.0088
Governance & Integrity8.718.71−0.00115
Financial Strength8.318.33+0.01518
Production & Innovation7.727.85+0.13314 → 12
Trade & Investment8.548.78+0.23712 → 11

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 150, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 36 on actions (build 7, buy 15, partner 15). 5 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.79 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 1 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education7 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.79 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence7 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 12; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.86+0.820.000.00+0.04
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.85+0.850.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.79+0.790.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.79+0.790.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.14+0.140.000.000.00
Advanced Education+0.11+0.110.000.000.00