Round 17 · simulation 77 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2043

Round 17 of 30 in simulation 77 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, Chronic disease advance, and the index +0.069 to 7.49.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.49 (+0.069)
In: 7.42
Rank by index
75
In: 76
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
3
In: 3
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.843.96+0.1218
Strategic Infrastructure7.587.59+0.0088
National Security4.504.51+0.0059
Human Capital9.059.09+0.0358
Information & Influence8.838.92+0.0937
Governance & Integrity8.498.50+0.01515
Financial Strength7.877.88+0.01920
Production & Innovation7.727.81+0.09111
Trade & Investment8.879.11+0.24011

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 154, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 116. Spent 38 on actions (buy 15, partner 23). 3 carried over.

  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation8 credits for 0.93 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation8 credits for 0.93 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access8 credits for 0.89 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication8 credits for 0.79 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity8 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • Upside event: Chronic disease advance S19. +3.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.94+0.930.00+0.010.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.56+0.540.00+0.01+0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.47+0.460.00+0.010.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.45+0.440.00+0.010.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.39+0.390.00+0.010.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.39+0.390.00+0.01−0.01