Round 23 · simulation 77 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2049

Round 23 of 30 in simulation 77 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.377 to 7.65.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2049 (the end of 2048) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.65 (−0.377)
In: 8.03
Rank by index
72
In: 68
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
10
In: 19
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.695.65−0.0396 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure7.967.42−0.5467 → 8
National Security4.563.89−0.6719
Human Capital9.639.55−0.0818
Information & Influence9.479.23−0.2406
Governance & Integrity8.838.55−0.28015
Financial Strength8.107.51−0.59520
Production & Innovation8.247.85−0.38610
Trade & Investment9.789.23−0.55310

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2049: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 168, plus 19 carried in. Maintenance 135. Spent 42 on actions (buy 25, partner 17). 10 carried over.

  • BuyArtificial Intelligence8 credits for 0.86 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection8 credits for 0.78 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing8 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies8 credits for 0.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity8 credits for 0.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −36.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 7; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2049, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Maritime Power−1.190.000.00−1.190.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.170.000.00−1.25+0.08
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.140.000.00−1.15+0.01
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−1.130.000.00−1.14+0.01
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−1.130.000.00−1.21+0.08
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.070.000.00−1.08+0.01