Round 28 · simulation 77 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2054

Round 28 of 30 in simulation 77 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 4 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.581 to 7.46.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2054 (the end of 2053) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.46 (−0.581)
In: 8.04
Rank by index
75
In: 68
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.616.31−0.3066
Strategic Infrastructure7.706.94−0.7578 → 9
National Security3.973.64−0.3359
Human Capital9.789.30−0.4776
Information & Influence9.468.87−0.5896 → 7
Governance & Integrity8.808.41−0.38915
Financial Strength7.957.03−0.91318 → 22
Production & Innovation8.107.46−0.63710
Trade & Investment9.979.14−0.82810

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2054: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 171. Maintenance 138. Spent 34 on actions (buy 17, partner 17). 0 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Technologies8 credits for 0.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access8 credits for 0.88 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies8 credits for 0.86 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance8 credits for 0.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −47.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 8 to 9; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 7; Financial Strength Tier 18 to 22.

The groups that moved most in 2054, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.580.000.00−1.56−0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.440.000.00−1.45+0.01
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.320.000.00−1.34+0.02
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−1.290.000.00−1.300.00
Energy Infrastructure−1.220.000.00−1.23+0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−1.180.000.00−1.190.00