Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 21 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 4 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.698 to 6.19.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.19 (−0.698)
- In: 6.88
- Rank by index
- 94
- In: 83
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 1
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.39 | 2.96 | −0.435 | 8 → 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.33 | 6.87 | −0.463 | 8 → 9 |
| National Security | 4.57 | 3.57 | −1.004 | 9 → 10 |
| Human Capital | 8.16 | 7.86 | −0.301 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 8.30 | 7.20 | −1.103 | 8 → 10 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.30 | 7.51 | −0.790 | 16 → 17 |
| Financial Strength | 7.20 | 5.98 | −1.223 | 21 → 24 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.96 | 6.57 | −0.384 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.74 | 7.17 | −0.577 | 12 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 126, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 106. Spent 21 on actions (buy 13, partner 9). 0 carried over.
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing6 credits for 0.77 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.38 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection3 credits for 0.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −51.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 9; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 8 to 9; National Security Tier 9 to 10; Information & Influence Tier 8 to 10; Governance & Integrity Tier 16 to 17; Financial Strength Tier 21 to 24; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Force Generation & Mobilisation | −1.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.94 | +0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.85 | +0.01 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.84 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.72 | +0.19 | 0.00 | −1.91 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | −1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.12 | +0.01 |
| Space Operations | −1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.06 | 0.00 |