Round 5 · simulation 61 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 61 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 3 actions, and the index −0.060 to 7.07.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.07 (−0.060)
In: 7.13
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.952.81−0.13510
Strategic Infrastructure7.797.75−0.0458
National Security4.514.47−0.0439
Human Capital8.108.26+0.16512
Information & Influence8.278.17−0.1059
Governance & Integrity8.788.73−0.05515
Financial Strength8.348.23−0.11618
Production & Innovation7.507.39−0.10514
Trade & Investment7.967.86−0.09613

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 123, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 108. Spent 15 on actions (build 6, partner 9). 1 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills6 credits for 0.70 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 5 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.84 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication3 credits for 0.30 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −6.1 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.80+0.830.00−0.030.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.48+0.510.00−0.030.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.39+0.420.00−0.030.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.240.000.00−0.22−0.03
Global Value Chain Position−0.220.000.00−0.21−0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing−0.200.000.00−0.200.00