Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 61 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 3 actions, and the index −0.056 to 7.13.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.13 (−0.056)
- In: 7.19
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 79
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 3
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.98 | 2.95 | −0.030 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.84 | 7.79 | −0.042 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.55 | 4.51 | −0.042 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.95 | 8.10 | +0.149 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.38 | 8.27 | −0.104 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.84 | 8.78 | −0.055 | 14 → 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.46 | 8.34 | −0.116 | 17 → 18 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.60 | 7.50 | −0.098 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.13 | 7.96 | −0.172 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 125, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 109. Spent 17 on actions (build 10, buy 7). 1 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 10 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.99 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 0 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence3 credits for 0.30 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 0 per cent
Earlier events still landing: −6.1 points this round.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 18.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.89 | +0.99 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.66 | +0.69 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.48 | +0.51 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.39 | +0.42 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.22 | −0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | −0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.21 | −0.01 |