Round 6 · simulation 68 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 68 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.375 to 7.00.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.00 (−0.375)
In: 7.38
Rank by index
80
In: 76
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.202.81−0.39210 → 11
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.64−0.2417 → 8
National Security4.614.38−0.2269
Human Capital8.418.20−0.21411 → 10
Information & Influence8.628.20−0.4227 → 9
Governance & Integrity8.898.58−0.31314 → 15
Financial Strength8.578.01−0.56017 → 18
Production & Innovation7.837.30−0.53114
Trade & Investment8.397.91−0.47612 → 13

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 143, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 113. Spent 32 on actions (build 7, buy 17, partner 7). 1 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.94 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.78 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.93 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance3 credits for 0.34 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −31.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 11; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 8; Human Capital Tier 11 to 10; Information & Influence Tier 7 to 9; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 18; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 13.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.090.000.00−1.090.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.980.000.00−0.980.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.960.000.00−0.970.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.950.000.00−0.95+0.01
Labour & Employment−0.930.000.00−0.940.00
Population Health−0.650.000.00−0.650.00