Round 2027
Round 1 of 20 in simulation 10 of Kenya, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −1.055 to 6.12.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.12 (−1.054)
- In: 7.18
- Rank by index
- 95
- In: 79
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 33
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.90 | 2.25 | −0.650 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.88 | 6.55 | −1.333 | 7 → 8 |
| National Security | 4.60 | 4.05 | −0.547 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.68 | 6.77 | −0.909 | 12 → 13 |
| Information & Influence | 8.21 | 6.93 | −1.281 | 9 → 11 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.16 | −0.729 | 14 → 16 |
| Financial Strength | 8.57 | 7.07 | −1.499 | 17 → 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.57 | 6.49 | −1.078 | 14 → 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.30 | 6.83 | −1.465 | 12 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2027: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 143. Maintenance 110. Nothing spent on actions. 33 carried over.
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −74.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 8; Human Capital Tier 12 to 13; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 11; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 16; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 22; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 17; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −2.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2.53 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −2.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2.25 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −2.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2.21 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −2.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2.13 | 0.00 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −2.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2.07 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −2.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2.06 | 0.00 |