Round 4 · simulation 10 · cycle-001.e3-ken-hold

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 10 of Kenya, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.263 to 5.81.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.81 (−0.264)
In: 6.08
Rank by index
102
In: 95
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
109
In: 81
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.222.01−0.21812 → 13
Strategic Infrastructure6.496.04−0.4549
National Security4.043.54−0.4909 → 10
Human Capital6.766.74−0.01914
Information & Influence6.896.41−0.48111
Governance & Integrity8.157.89−0.26416
Financial Strength6.986.97−0.01022
Production & Innovation6.426.22−0.20217
Trade & Investment6.746.50−0.23213 → 14

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 115, plus 81 carried in. Maintenance 87. Nothing spent on actions. 109 carried over.

  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −18.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 13; National Security Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 14.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Maritime Power−0.800.000.00−0.79−0.01
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.790.000.00−0.77−0.02
Intelligence & Assessment−0.760.000.00−0.75−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation−0.720.000.00−0.69−0.03
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.710.000.00−0.70−0.01
Energy Infrastructure−0.700.000.00−0.65−0.04