Round 17 · simulation 10 · cycle-001.e3-ken-hold

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 10 of Kenya, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.190 to 5.08.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index: 5.08 (−0.190); In: 5.27
Rank by index: 117; In: 113
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 339; In: 309

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	1.45	1.27	−0.183	15 → 16
Strategic Infrastructure	5.54	5.44	−0.104	9 → 10
National Security	3.38	3.38	−0.002	10
Human Capital	6.11	5.91	−0.206	14
Information & Influence	5.76	5.51	−0.256	12
Governance & Integrity	7.47	7.31	−0.161	17
Financial Strength	6.35	6.09	−0.259	23
Production & Innovation	5.54	5.29	−0.247	18
Trade & Investment	5.77	5.48	−0.288	16

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 99, plus 309 carried in. Maintenance 70. Nothing spent on actions. 339 carried over.

Shock: AI labour shock S08. −39.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 15 to 16; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Events	Graph
Digital & Services Trade	−0.50	−0.49	−0.01
Artificial Intelligence	−0.45	−0.45	−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance	−0.44	−0.44	−0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication	−0.44	−0.43	0.00
Labour & Employment	−0.43	−0.42	0.00
Advanced Education	−0.30	−0.29	−0.01