Round 10 · simulation 83 · cycle-001.e3-ken-mirror-peer

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 83 of Kenya, mirror a peer, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure and AI labour shock, and the index −1.260 to 5.64.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.64 (−1.260)
In: 6.90
Rank by index
108
In: 83
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.611.70−0.90812 → 13
Strategic Infrastructure7.656.24−1.4168
National Security4.974.44−0.5278 → 9
Human Capital7.486.36−1.12412 → 14
Information & Influence8.316.74−1.5719 → 11
Governance & Integrity8.537.63−0.90015 → 16
Financial Strength7.916.13−1.78018 → 23
Production & Innovation7.005.66−1.33715 → 18
Trade & Investment7.635.86−1.77713 → 15

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the mirror a peer (nga) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 130. Maintenance 105. Spent 23 on actions (buy 23). 1 carried over.

  • BuyResource Infrastructure6 credits for 0.38 levelsgoal_gapahead of Advanced Manufacturing by 40 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Manufacturing6 credits for 0.42 levelsgoal_gapahead of Land Power by 1 per cent
  • BuyLand Power6 credits for 0.42 levelsgoal_gapahead of Strategic Strike & Missile Defence by 1 per cent
  • BuyStrategic Strike & Missile Defence3 credits for 0.23 levelsgoal_gapahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 1 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure1 credits for 0.10 levelsgoal_gapahead of Maritime Power by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −76.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: AI labour shock S08. −41.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 13; National Security Tier 8 to 9; Human Capital Tier 12 to 14; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 11; Governance & Integrity Tier 15 to 16; Financial Strength Tier 18 to 23; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 18; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 15.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−2.810.000.00−2.81−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−2.720.000.00−2.720.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−2.450.000.00−2.450.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−2.370.000.00−2.370.00
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−2.200.000.00−2.190.00
Energy Infrastructure−2.190.000.00−2.190.00