Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 10 of Kenya, random, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.127 to 5.72.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.72 (−0.127)
- In: 5.84
- Rank by index
- 105
- In: 101
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 127
- In: 108
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.12 | 1.95 | −0.169 | 13 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.96 | 5.91 | −0.057 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.60 | 3.60 | −0.002 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 6.65 | 6.49 | −0.156 | 13 → 14 |
| Information & Influence | 6.53 | 6.36 | −0.172 | 11 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.87 | 7.76 | −0.108 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.08 | 6.96 | −0.122 | 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.20 | 6.03 | −0.165 | 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.58 | 6.39 | −0.188 | 14 → 15 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 113, plus 108 carried in. Maintenance 81. Spent 14 on actions (build 7, buy 7). 127 carried over.
- BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights2 credits for 0.13 levelsrandom_draw
- BuyFinancial Regulation & Integrity6 credits for 0.28 levelsrandom_draw
- BuyQuantum Technologies1 credits for 0.08 levelsrandom_draw
- BuildFinancial Stability & Crisis Management2 credits for 0.14 levelsrandom_draw
- BuildIntelligence & Assessment2 credits for 0.11 levelsrandom_draw
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −26.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 13 to 14; Trade & Investment Tier 14 to 15.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.33 | −0.02 |
| Artificial Intelligence | −0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.30 | −0.02 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.29 | −0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.28 | −0.01 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.28 | −0.01 |
| Advanced Education | −0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.19 | −0.02 |