Round 2043
Round 17 of 20 in simulation 10 of Kenya, random, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.173 to 5.33.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.33 (−0.173)
- In: 5.50
- Rank by index
- 112
- In: 111
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 155
- In: 143
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 1.77 | 1.57 | −0.194 | 13 → 14 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.81 | 5.71 | −0.100 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.58 | 3.59 | +0.005 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 6.20 | 6.02 | −0.176 | 14 |
| Information & Influence | 6.00 | 5.77 | −0.232 | 12 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.53 | 7.38 | −0.151 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 6.62 | 6.41 | −0.210 | 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.80 | 5.56 | −0.240 | 17 → 18 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.17 | 5.91 | −0.258 | 15 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2043: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 101, plus 143 carried in. Maintenance 75. Spent 14 on actions (build 1, buy 2, partner 11). 155 carried over.
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation2 credits for 0.17 levelsrandom_draw
- PartnerMonetary & Currency Capability5 credits for 0.38 levelsrandom_draw
- PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy1 credits for 0.10 levelsrandom_draw
- BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure1 credits for 0.05 levelsrandom_draw
- PartnerSemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.36 levelsrandom_draw
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −39.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 13 to 14; Production & Innovation Tier 17 to 18.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.47 | −0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | −0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.44 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.43 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.42 | 0.00 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.42 | 0.00 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | −0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.31 | 0.00 |