Round 19 · simulation 10 · cycle-001.e3-ken-random

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 10 of Kenya, random, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.180 to 4.97.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.97 (−0.181)
In: 5.15
Rank by index
119
In: 116
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
141
In: 139
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.381.19−0.19616
Strategic Infrastructure5.635.55−0.0859
National Security3.593.59−0.0019
Human Capital5.855.69−0.16415
Information & Influence5.545.28−0.25713
Governance & Integrity7.227.07−0.15517
Financial Strength6.205.94−0.25722 → 23
Production & Innovation5.315.06−0.25618
Trade & Investment5.645.38−0.25416

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 80, plus 139 carried in. Maintenance 69. Spent 8 on actions (buy 4, partner 3). 141 carried over.

  • BuyFinancial System Depth & Access2 credits for 0.09 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyExport Capability & Sophistication1 credits for 0.07 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyAdvanced Education2 credits for 0.10 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerAgriculture & Food Infrastructure2 credits for 0.12 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication2 credits for 0.22 levelsrandom_draw

Earlier events still landing: −13.3 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 22 to 23.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.470.000.00−0.43−0.03
Artificial Intelligence−0.440.000.00−0.44−0.01
Labour & Employment−0.440.000.00−0.42−0.02
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.430.000.00−0.420.00
Digital & Services Trade−0.37+0.120.00−0.47−0.01
Sensing, Timing & Navigation−0.310.000.00−0.310.00