Round 16 · simulation 89 · cycle-001.e3-ken-random

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 89 of Kenya, random, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.021 to 7.48.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.48 (+0.020)
In: 7.46
Rank by index
75
In: 75
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
125
In: 111
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.143.14+0.00410
Strategic Infrastructure8.218.27+0.0577
National Security4.834.86+0.0359 → 8
Human Capital8.028.02+0.00312
Information & Influence8.468.46+0.0087
Governance & Integrity9.039.04+0.01113
Financial Strength8.818.82+0.00317
Production & Innovation7.797.80+0.00514
Trade & Investment8.848.90+0.06212

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 146, plus 111 carried in. Maintenance 117. Spent 14 on actions (build 7, buy 7). 125 carried over.

  • BuildConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies1 credits for 0.13 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation1 credits for 0.07 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildJoint Command, Projection & Sustainment3 credits for 0.12 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyEnergy Infrastructure7 credits for 0.47 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildForce Generation & Mobilisation1 credits for 0.06 levelsrandom_draw

Tiers. National Security Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.39+0.390.000.000.00
Energy Infrastructure+0.24+0.230.000.00+0.01
Intelligence & Assessment+0.20+0.200.000.000.00
Advanced Manufacturing+0.15+0.150.000.000.00
Land Power+0.09+0.090.000.000.00
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure+0.09+0.080.000.000.00