Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.170 to 16.46.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.46 (−0.170)
- In: 16.63
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 6
- Credits carried
- 343
- In: 300
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.10 | 15.89 | −0.217 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.57 | 16.08 | −0.488 | 1 → 2 |
| National Security | 14.62 | 14.02 | −0.600 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.43 | 18.57 | +0.146 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.21 | 16.61 | −0.599 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.11 | 15.80 | −0.304 | 3 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 16.49 | 16.60 | +0.114 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.82 | 16.78 | −0.036 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.36 | 17.81 | +0.457 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 950, plus 300 carried in. Maintenance 674. Spent 233 on actions (build 93, partner 140). 343 carried over.
- BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation47 credits for 1.22 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity47 credits for 1.60 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 1 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence47 credits for 2.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 5 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication47 credits for 2.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 1 per cent
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade47 credits for 2.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −22.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.12 | +1.38 | 0.00 | −0.27 | +0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.99 | +1.25 | 0.00 | −0.26 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.98 | +1.22 | 0.00 | −0.26 | +0.02 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.94 | +1.15 | 0.00 | −0.21 | +0.01 |
| Maritime Power | −0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | 0.00 |