Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 4 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock and Market access opening, and the index +0.181 to 16.47.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.47 (+0.180)
- In: 16.29
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 5
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 284
- In: 224
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.08 | 16.03 | −0.052 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.32 | 16.38 | +0.060 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.41 | +0.002 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.03 | 18.38 | +0.344 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.27 | 16.88 | +0.615 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.84 | 15.89 | +0.046 | 4 → 3 |
| Financial Strength | 16.18 | 16.33 | +0.147 | 4 → 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.63 | 16.70 | +0.072 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.88 | 17.27 | +0.392 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 902, plus 224 carried in. Maintenance 620. Spent 222 on actions (build 89, buy 44, partner 89). 284 carried over.
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance44 credits for 2.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 3 per cent
- BuildFoundational Education44 credits for 1.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity44 credits for 1.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance44 credits for 1.14 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection44 credits for 2.40 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −15.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Upside event: Market access opening S12. +15.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 4 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +2.78 | +2.81 | 0.00 | −0.05 | +0.03 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.48 | +1.42 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.27 | +1.20 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +1.19 | +1.24 | 0.00 | −0.05 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +1.08 | +1.22 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.69 | +0.71 | 0.00 | −0.02 | 0.00 |