Round 24 · simulation 13 · cycle-002.e4-are

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 13 of United Arab Emirates, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 2 actions, Severe pandemic and Middle East settlement, and the index −0.284 to 9.82.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.82 (−0.283)
In: 10.11
Rank by index
48
In: 45
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.745.49−0.2523
Strategic Infrastructure13.2013.10−0.1022
National Security6.656.57−0.0847
Human Capital10.9010.58−0.3167
Information & Influence9.619.24−0.3696
Governance & Integrity9.399.21−0.17510 → 11
Financial Strength11.9511.53−0.4184
Production & Innovation9.949.55−0.3897 → 8
Trade & Investment13.5913.14−0.4482

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 259. Maintenance 237. Spent 22 on actions (partner 22). 0 carried over. 8 actions could not be paid for.

  • PartnerSpace Technologies13 credits for 0.92 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerArtificial Intelligence9 credits for 0.69 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −25.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +11.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 10 to 11; Production & Innovation Tier 7 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.790.000.00−0.84+0.05
Labour & Employment−0.760.000.00−0.750.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.730.000.00−0.730.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.730.000.00−0.730.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.730.000.00−0.74+0.02
Foundational Education−0.490.000.00−0.49−0.01