Round 24 · simulation 20 · cycle-002.e4-arg

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 20 of Argentina, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic and Debt service reset, and the index −0.513 to 9.54.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.54 (−0.513)
In: 10.05
Rank by index
51
In: 47
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
191
In: 186
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.397.77−0.6266
Strategic Infrastructure12.3012.05−0.2523
National Security7.146.85−0.2887
Human Capital13.6113.16−0.4511
Information & Influence10.319.63−0.6796 → 7
Governance & Integrity10.089.75−0.32611 → 12
Financial Strength9.228.63−0.59016 → 17
Production & Innovation9.779.12−0.6483 → 6
Trade & Investment9.638.88−0.7566 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 261, plus 186 carried in. Maintenance 231. Spent 26 on actions (build 26). 191 carried over.

  • BuildHealth System Capability5 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management5 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure5 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSovereign Capital & External Financial Power5 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −38.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +4.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 7; Governance & Integrity Tier 11 to 12; Financial Strength Tier 16 to 17; Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 6; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.350.000.00−1.37+0.02
Labour & Employment−1.170.000.00−1.16−0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.160.000.00−1.170.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.060.000.00−1.11+0.06
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.95+0.070.00−1.00−0.03
Population Health−0.730.000.00−0.730.00