Round 26 · simulation 18 · cycle-002.e4-bgd

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 18 of Bangladesh, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.226 to 4.81.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.81 (−0.225)
In: 5.04
Rank by index
122
In: 118
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.541.41−0.13513 → 14
Strategic Infrastructure5.985.74−0.2469 → 10
National Security3.463.34−0.1229
Human Capital6.496.31−0.18114
Information & Influence4.734.44−0.28713
Governance & Integrity6.626.46−0.15917 → 18
Financial Strength5.324.99−0.32924 → 25
Production & Innovation5.495.25−0.24416 → 17
Trade & Investment5.715.38−0.32911 → 12

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 76. Maintenance 68. Spent 8 on actions (build 8). 0 carried over. 2 actions could not be paid for.

  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure4 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability0 credits for 0.01 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −15.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 13 to 14; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 9 to 10; Governance & Integrity Tier 17 to 18; Financial Strength Tier 24 to 25; Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 17; Trade & Investment Tier 11 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.540.000.00−0.55+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.500.000.00−0.48−0.01
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.490.000.00−0.48−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.480.000.00−0.47−0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.450.000.00−0.43−0.01
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure−0.410.000.00−0.41−0.01