Round 12 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-bgd

Round 2008

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 2 of Bangladesh, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.264 to 5.43.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2008 (the end of 2007) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.43 (−0.264)
In: 5.70
Rank by index
111
In: 105
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
24
In: 35
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.332.17−0.16712
Strategic Infrastructure6.075.77−0.2999 → 10
National Security3.963.82−0.1378 → 9
Human Capital7.026.81−0.20913 → 14
Information & Influence5.725.38−0.33712
Governance & Integrity6.946.77−0.16517
Financial Strength6.365.95−0.41022 → 23
Production & Innovation6.105.83−0.27518
Trade & Investment6.786.40−0.37711

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2008: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 96, plus 35 carried in. Maintenance 80. Spent 27 on actions (build 27). 24 carried over.

  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure5 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration5 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption5 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure5 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFoundational Education5 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −18.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 9 to 10; National Security Tier 8 to 9; Human Capital Tier 13 to 14; Financial Strength Tier 22 to 23.

The groups that moved most in 2008, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.660.000.00−0.57−0.09
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.640.000.00−0.65+0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.620.000.00−0.57−0.04
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.560.000.00−0.560.00
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.520.000.00−0.520.00
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure−0.480.000.00−0.480.00