Round 1 · simulation 9 · cycle-002.e4-bwa

Round 1997

Round 1 of 30 in simulation 9 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 9 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.725 to 8.87.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 1997 (the end of 1996) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.87 (−0.725)
In: 9.60
Rank by index
61
In: 51
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
12
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.022.07−0.94511 → 13
Strategic Infrastructure9.999.61−0.3865
National Security6.105.73−0.3727 → 8
Human Capital9.979.33−0.64710 → 11
Information & Influence9.148.21−0.9267 → 8
Governance & Integrity13.8813.41−0.4626
Financial Strength13.4712.59−0.8808 → 9
Production & Innovation10.169.28−0.87211
Trade & Investment10.659.61−1.0388 → 9

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 1997: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 250. Maintenance 169. Spent 70 on actions (build 65, buy 5). 12 carried over.

  • BuildFoundational Education13 credits for 0.77 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability13 credits for 0.57 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health13 credits for 0.77 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure13 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption5 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration5 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability5 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyAir Power3 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyLand Power3 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −52.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 13; National Security Tier 7 to 8; Human Capital Tier 10 to 11; Information & Influence Tier 7 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 1997, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.810.000.00−1.810.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.690.000.00−1.690.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.580.000.00−1.580.00
Labour & Employment−1.540.000.00−1.540.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.470.000.00−1.470.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.940.000.00−0.940.00