Round 29 · simulation 9 · cycle-002.e4-bwa

Round 2025

Round 29 of 30 in simulation 9 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, and the index +0.006 to 8.83.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2025 (the end of 2024) and as it left it.

Capability index: 8.83 (+0.006); In: 8.83
Rank by index: 62; In: 62
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 563; In: 511

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	1.25	1.25	−0.001	14
Strategic Infrastructure	11.08	11.07	−0.012	4
National Security	5.30	5.29	−0.017	8
Human Capital	11.32	11.34	+0.019	5
Information & Influence	7.25	7.26	+0.002	10
Governance & Integrity	13.56	13.56	−0.002	4
Financial Strength	11.33	11.36	+0.033	11
Production & Innovation	9.28	9.31	+0.033	10
Trade & Investment	9.06	9.06	−0.002	10

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2025: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 214, plus 511 carried in. Maintenance 149. Spent 13 on actions (build 13). 563 carried over.

BuildHealth System Capability4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
BuildEconomic Output & Productivity4 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history

The groups that moved most in 2025, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Economic Output & Productivity	+0.23	+0.23	0.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance	+0.19	+0.16	+0.04
Health System Capability	+0.15	+0.16	−0.02
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation	+0.04	0.00	+0.04
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence	−0.04	0.00	−0.04
Energy Infrastructure	−0.04	0.00	−0.04