Round 23 · simulation 10 · cycle-002.e4-chl

Round 2019

Round 23 of 30 in simulation 10 of Chile, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.387 to 9.83.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2019 (the end of 2018) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.83 (−0.387)
In: 10.22
Rank by index
48
In: 44
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 2
Credits carried
211
In: 227
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.883.54−0.34510
Strategic Infrastructure11.9111.70−0.2183
National Security7.446.89−0.5487
Human Capital12.9312.85−0.0831
Information & Influence8.397.75−0.6397 → 9
Governance & Integrity13.1412.81−0.3315 → 6
Financial Strength13.0612.46−0.6087 → 9
Production & Innovation10.059.76−0.2896
Trade & Investment11.1810.76−0.4231 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2019: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 251, plus 227 carried in. Maintenance 210. Spent 57 on actions (build 57). 211 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order14 credits for 0.61 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management14 credits for 0.56 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability14 credits for 0.51 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance14 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −26.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 7 to 9; Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 6; Financial Strength Tier 7 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2019, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.070.000.00−1.09+0.02
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.040.000.00−1.040.00
Force Generation & Mobilisation−1.010.000.00−1.04+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.620.000.00−0.62−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.600.000.00−0.600.00
Space Operations−0.590.000.00−0.590.00