Round 24 · simulation 10 · cycle-002.e4-chl

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 10 of Chile, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.560 to 9.27.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.27 (−0.560)
In: 9.83
Rank by index
54
In: 48
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
199
In: 201
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.542.77−0.76310 → 12
Strategic Infrastructure11.7011.42−0.2733
National Security6.896.58−0.3097
Human Capital12.8512.43−0.4141
Information & Influence7.756.99−0.7619 → 10
Governance & Integrity12.8112.53−0.2826 → 7
Financial Strength12.4611.80−0.6549 → 10
Production & Innovation9.769.06−0.7036
Trade & Investment10.769.87−0.8822 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 243, plus 201 carried in. Maintenance 194. Spent 50 on actions (build 50). 199 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order13 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management13 credits for 0.49 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability13 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.40 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −37.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 12; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 10; Governance & Integrity Tier 6 to 7; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.390.000.00−1.390.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.340.000.00−1.340.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.240.000.00−1.240.00
Labour & Employment−1.210.000.00−1.19−0.02
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.880.000.00−0.83−0.05
Global Value Chain Position−0.840.000.00−0.81−0.02