Round 22 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-chl

Round 2018

Round 22 of 30 in simulation 2 of Chile, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.021 to 10.21.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2018 (the end of 2017) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.21 (−0.021)
In: 10.24
Rank by index
44
In: 44
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 1
Credits carried
240
In: 224
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.963.88−0.08110
Strategic Infrastructure11.8711.90+0.0263
National Security7.477.44−0.0297
Human Capital12.8512.91+0.0612 → 1
Information & Influence8.458.39−0.0597
Governance & Integrity13.1013.14+0.0435
Financial Strength13.0313.05+0.0157
Production & Innovation10.1010.04−0.0596
Trade & Investment11.2911.18−0.1051

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2018: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 283, plus 224 carried in. Maintenance 211. Spent 56 on actions (build 56). 240 carried over.

  • BuildAdvanced Education14 credits for 0.67 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance14 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation14 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure14 credits for 0.44 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −11.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2018, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Education+0.54+0.550.00−0.010.00
Political Institutions & Civic Participation+0.45+0.480.00−0.030.00
Energy Infrastructure+0.43+0.460.00−0.020.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.40+0.460.00−0.05−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.140.000.00−0.140.00
Global Value Chain Position−0.130.000.00−0.130.00