Round 2020
Round 24 of 30 in simulation 11 of China, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −1.049 to 5.86.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.86 (−1.049)
- In: 6.91
- Rank by index
- 101
- In: 82
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.78 | 3.47 | −1.314 | 6 → 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 8.61 | 8.04 | −0.577 | 6 |
| National Security | 7.37 | 6.75 | −0.625 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 7.63 | 6.76 | −0.875 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.12 | 5.83 | −1.295 | 10 → 12 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.08 | 6.37 | −0.715 | 14 → 15 |
| Financial Strength | 5.23 | 3.92 | −1.306 | 21 → 24 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.66 | 5.45 | −1.209 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.71 | 6.18 | −1.530 | 10 → 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 109. Maintenance 109 of the 128 needed, so 15 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 10 actions could not be paid for.
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −58.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 7; Information & Influence Tier 10 to 12; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 21 to 24; Trade & Investment Tier 10 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −2.29 | 0.00 | −0.03 | −2.25 | −0.01 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | −2.23 | 0.00 | −0.05 | −2.19 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −2.04 | 0.00 | −0.01 | −2.00 | −0.02 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −2.01 | 0.00 | −0.04 | −1.97 | 0.00 |
| Labour & Employment | −1.94 | 0.00 | −0.03 | −1.89 | −0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −1.53 | 0.00 | −0.03 | −1.45 | −0.05 |