Round 24 · simulation 10 · cycle-002.e4-col

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 10 of Colombia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 2 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.494 to 8.78.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.78 (−0.494)
In: 9.27
Rank by index
61
In: 55
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.815.21−0.6048 → 9
Strategic Infrastructure10.049.79−0.2506
National Security10.6710.39−0.2792 → 3
Human Capital9.699.23−0.46010
Information & Influence10.6110.00−0.6136
Governance & Integrity10.149.80−0.3424 → 6
Financial Strength8.668.04−0.62217 → 19
Production & Innovation8.798.21−0.58412 → 13
Trade & Investment9.068.37−0.69111 → 12

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 218. Maintenance 211. Spent 7 on actions (build 7). 0 carried over. 3 actions could not be paid for.

  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management4 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health3 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −34.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 9; National Security Tier 2 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 6; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 19; Production & Innovation Tier 12 to 13; Trade & Investment Tier 11 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.190.000.00−1.22+0.04
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.070.000.00−1.070.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.060.000.00−1.050.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.050.000.00−1.050.00
Labour & Employment−1.030.000.00−1.030.00
Foundational Education−0.700.000.00−0.70−0.01