Round 15 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-egy

Round 2011

Round 15 of 30 in simulation 2 of Egypt, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.484 to 10.74.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2011 (the end of 2010) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.74 (−0.484)
In: 11.22
Rank by index
40
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
865
In: 775
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.284.92−0.3618 → 9
Strategic Infrastructure13.1812.87−0.3023
National Security11.0310.34−0.6894
Human Capital10.8610.64−0.2189
Information & Influence13.3312.56−0.7693 → 5
Governance & Integrity10.6910.18−0.5059 → 10
Financial Strength11.8110.94−0.8749 → 11
Production & Innovation10.7110.42−0.2869
Trade & Investment14.1113.76−0.3493 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2011: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 391, plus 775 carried in. Maintenance 270. Spent 31 on actions (build 31). 865 carried over.

  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation8 credits for 0.46 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildInternal Security & Order8 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights8 credits for 0.38 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management8 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −36.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 9; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 5; Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 11; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2011, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.350.000.00−1.350.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.330.000.00−1.330.00
Force Generation & Mobilisation−1.320.000.00−1.31−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.220.000.00−1.23+0.01
Space Operations−0.780.000.00−0.770.00
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability−0.750.000.00−0.750.00