Round 24 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-egy

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 2 of Egypt, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 15 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.144 to 10.25.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.25 (−0.144)
In: 10.39
Rank by index
45
In: 45
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
597
In: 644
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.474.23−0.2429
Strategic Infrastructure13.7313.90+0.1772
National Security9.709.59−0.1135
Human Capital10.5010.40−0.09610
Information & Influence11.7811.52−0.2625 → 6
Governance & Integrity10.3510.22−0.1349 → 10
Financial Strength10.1710.06−0.10611
Production & Innovation9.809.55−0.2459
Trade & Investment13.0312.76−0.2704

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 346, plus 644 carried in. Maintenance 239. Spent 153 on actions (build 119, partner 34). 597 carried over.

  • BuildTransport Infrastructure17 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure17 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure17 credits for 0.56 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure17 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure17 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability7 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFinancial System Depth & Access7 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health7 credits for 0.38 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability7 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerPopulation Health7 credits for 0.36 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerHealth System Capability7 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure7 credits for 0.25 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerEnergy Technologies7 credits for 0.54 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management7 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −14.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6; Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.59+0.690.00−0.09−0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure+0.49+0.590.00−0.09−0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.470.000.00−0.46−0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.460.000.00−0.45−0.02
Labour & Employment−0.440.000.00−0.450.00
Social Infrastructure+0.42+0.610.00−0.18−0.01