Round 2022
Round 26 of 30 in simulation 2 of Egypt, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.403 to 9.90.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 9.90 (−0.403)
- In: 10.30
- Rank by index
- 48
- In: 45
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 666
- In: 604
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.28 | 4.03 | −0.248 | 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.13 | 13.75 | −0.377 | 2 |
| National Security | 9.58 | 9.35 | −0.230 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 10.52 | 10.25 | −0.266 | 10 → 9 |
| Information & Influence | 11.51 | 10.94 | −0.573 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 10.23 | 9.96 | −0.275 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 10.15 | 9.57 | −0.576 | 10 → 11 |
| Production & Innovation | 9.56 | 9.08 | −0.476 | 9 → 10 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.77 | 12.16 | −0.609 | 4 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 344, plus 604 carried in. Maintenance 248. Spent 34 on actions (partner 34). 666 carried over.
- PartnerPopulation Health7 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerHealth System Capability7 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure7 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerEnergy Technologies7 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management7 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −31.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 10 to 9; Financial Strength Tier 10 to 11; Production & Innovation Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.95 | −0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.00 | +0.06 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.91 | +0.09 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.79 | +0.12 | 0.00 | −0.91 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.79 | +0.08 | 0.00 | −0.86 | −0.01 |
| Early Childhood Development | −0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.66 | +0.02 |