Round 8 · simulation 3 · cycle-002.e4-egy

Round 2004

Round 8 of 30 in simulation 3 of Egypt, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 10 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.094 to 11.05.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2004 (the end of 2003) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.05 (+0.094)
In: 10.95
Rank by index
36
In: 36
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
463
In: 416
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.285.32+0.0348
Strategic Infrastructure12.5712.73+0.1543
National Security10.9810.99+0.0064
Human Capital10.6710.75+0.0779
Information & Influence13.3213.36+0.0353
Governance & Integrity10.3510.44+0.09211
Financial Strength11.9212.04+0.12710 → 9
Production & Innovation10.4010.49+0.09110
Trade & Investment13.0713.30+0.2304

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2004: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 380, plus 416 carried in. Maintenance 258. Spent 75 on actions (build 75). 463 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance8 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFinancial System Depth & Access8 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Facilitation & Logistics8 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure8 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure8 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access8 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildInvestment Attraction & Projection8 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure8 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base8 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration8 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
  • Upside event: Market access opening S12. +12.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 10 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2004, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.52+0.350.00+0.13+0.03
Transport Infrastructure+0.41+0.240.00+0.13+0.04
Energy Infrastructure+0.41+0.260.00+0.13+0.02
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.37+0.230.00+0.130.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.36+0.230.00+0.130.00
Financial System Depth & Access+0.34+0.300.00+0.030.00