Round 2011
Round 15 of 30 in simulation 3 of Egypt, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.483 to 10.74.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2011 (the end of 2010) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 10.74 (−0.483)
- In: 11.22
- Rank by index
- 40
- In: 35
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 864
- In: 775
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 5.28 | 4.92 | −0.361 | 8 → 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.17 | 12.87 | −0.301 | 3 |
| National Security | 11.03 | 10.34 | −0.689 | 4 |
| Human Capital | 10.87 | 10.65 | −0.216 | 9 |
| Information & Influence | 13.32 | 12.55 | −0.770 | 3 → 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 10.68 | 10.18 | −0.504 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 11.81 | 10.94 | −0.874 | 9 → 11 |
| Production & Innovation | 10.73 | 10.45 | −0.283 | 6 → 9 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.10 | 13.76 | −0.348 | 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2011: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 391, plus 775 carried in. Maintenance 270. Spent 31 on actions (build 31). 864 carried over.
- BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation8 credits for 0.46 levelsscripted_history
- BuildInternal Security & Order8 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
- BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights8 credits for 0.38 levelsscripted_history
- BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management8 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −36.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 9; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 11; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 9.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.35 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.33 | 0.00 |
| Force Generation & Mobilisation | −1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.31 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.23 | 0.00 |
| Space Operations | −0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.77 | 0.00 |
| Transparency, Oversight & Accountability | −0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.75 | 0.00 |