Round 2023
Round 27 of 30 in simulation 3 of Egypt, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.183 to 9.72.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2023 (the end of 2022) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 9.72 (−0.183)
- In: 9.90
- Rank by index
- 49
- In: 48
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 693
- In: 634
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.04 | 3.94 | −0.092 | 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.77 | 13.60 | −0.168 | 2 |
| National Security | 9.35 | 9.04 | −0.303 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 10.25 | 10.29 | +0.038 | 10 → 8 |
| Information & Influence | 10.91 | 10.78 | −0.129 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 9.96 | 9.84 | −0.121 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 9.56 | 9.26 | −0.298 | 11 |
| Production & Innovation | 9.12 | 8.89 | −0.227 | 10 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.16 | 11.82 | −0.345 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2023: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 327, plus 634 carried in. Maintenance 234. Spent 35 on actions (partner 35). 693 carried over.
- PartnerPopulation Health7 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerHealth System Capability7 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure7 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerEnergy Technologies7 credits for 0.53 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management7 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −15.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 10 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.53 | −0.08 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.52 | −0.03 |
| Maritime Power | −0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.51 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.41 | −0.07 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.48 | +0.01 |
| Population Health | +0.46 | +0.50 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.04 |