Round 24 · simulation 10 · cycle-002.e4-est

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 10 of Estonia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.489 to 10.14.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.14 (−0.490)
In: 10.63
Rank by index
45
In: 40
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.004.44−0.5646 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure10.8510.63−0.2194 → 5
National Security6.846.69−0.1546
Human Capital13.5313.05−0.4762
Information & Influence10.099.43−0.6663
Governance & Integrity15.2314.90−0.3301
Financial Strength12.2111.59−0.6246 → 7
Production & Innovation10.6310.01−0.6216
Trade & Investment11.3210.57−0.7492 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 272. Maintenance 221. Spent 52 on actions (partner 52). 0 carried over. 1 action could not be paid for.

  • PartnerForce Generation & Mobilisation14 credits for 0.51 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCyber & Electromagnetic Operations14 credits for 0.64 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerEnergy Infrastructure14 credits for 0.63 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerEnergy Technologies11 credits for 0.82 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −36.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 7; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 4 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 6 to 7; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.290.000.00−1.290.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.190.000.00−1.190.00
Labour & Employment−1.090.000.00−1.090.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.020.000.00−1.03+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.010.000.00−1.010.00
Population Health−0.750.000.00−0.750.00